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IISEPS Bulletins |
E-bulletin of IISEPS Center for Documentation, N 9, 2012 - ISSN 1822-5578 (only Russian) Content: Introduction 1. Basic trends of September 2. Chronicle of key events 3. Politics 3.1. The Novobelitskaya anomaly of republican scale 3.2. Modernization potential of those flogged 4. Economics 4.1. Fundamental imbalances of emissions are never cured 4.2. Negative economic state of the market is for long 4.3. An oil state 5. Finances 5.1. In wait for devaluation 6. Our forecast for September 7. From the IISEPS desktop Introduction: Dear readers! Just as we had supposed, the topic of "solvents-thinners" became the focus of interest of the non-state mass media in September. If the parliamentary election is only an episode in history of development of modern Belarus, and in a couple of months even experts will not be able to elicit its influence on the development of socio-economic processes in the country, consequences of "solvents-thinners" export termination can be felt by virtually every Belarusian already today. It is another matter that not everybody is able to realize where the troubles he or she got taxed with are coming from. Let us cite the dynamics of the balance of foreign trade in goods for the last three months: June - $ 306.5m, July - $ 141.6m, August - minus $ 363.6m. For a country with open economy such dynamics stand high. Let us remind the readers that according to the Prime Minister M. Myasnikovich, in Belarus the share of export makes up 84% of GDP (for reference - in the USA the rate equals 13%, in India - 22%, in China - 27%, and in Russia and Great Britain - about 30%). IISEPS executive board Complete version see Here »» |
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