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IISEPS Bulletins |
E-bulletin of IISEPS Center for Documentation, N 12, 2013 - ISSN 1822-5578 (only Russian) Content: Introduction 1. Basic trends of December 2. Chronicle of key events 3. Politics 3.1. How much do the "keepers of our hearts and souls" earn? 3.2. Who will pay for the geopolitical choice of Ukraine? 4. Economics 4.1. Shale revolution and new reality 4.2. The year unjustified hopes 4.3. We could, if only... 5. Finances 5.1. The Russian factor of the Belarusian financial stability 6. Our forecast for January 7. From the IISEPS desktop Introduction: Dear readers! Our forecast for 2013 on the whole was proved true. On the one hand, we didn't feel optimistic about the success of state enterprises modernization and Napoleonic plans for GDP growth, and on the other hand, we didn't share the alarmist moods of certain independent economists predicting that ruble exchange rate will achieve the level of 14.000 by summer. However we hoped that the failure of modernization policy will force the power to start revision, even if fragmentary, of the economic policy developed over the last two decades. Everything seemed to be going in this direction. In October the government and the National Bank approved a revolutionary (by the Belarusian standards) joint plan. But after the power have pledged, they haven't hedged. The plan kind of exists, but there is no information on its realization. IISEPS executive board Complete version see Here »» |
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